Olympic Steel: Cyclical Stocks in a Recessive Environment (NASDAQ: ZEUS)

Olympic Steel Inc. (NASDAQ: ZEUS) nquag nthuav dav nws txoj kev lag luam los ntawm kev tau txais cov tuam txhab ze ze rau nws cov lag luam ntu.Nws cov nyiaj tau los tau nce ntau xyoo dhau los vim yog cov khoom lag luam supercycle, tab sis Olympic Steel tsis ntev los no tau ua teeb meem vim tias cov nqi hlau poob, uas ua rau nws cov khoom muag poob qis. Cov Tshuag tus nqi tshaj S&P 500 thiab Dow Jones Industrial Metals & Mining Performance index (DJUSIM) los ntawm zoo tshaj 30%. Cov Tshuag tus nqi tshaj S&P 500 thiab Dow Jones Industrial Metals & Mining Performance index (DJUSIM) los ntawm zoo tshaj 30%. Цена акций превысила индекс S&P 500 thiab Dow Jones Industrial Metals & Mining (DJUSIM) более чем на 30%. Tus nqi Tshuag tau ua tau zoo dua S&P 500 thiab Dow Jones Industrial Metals & Mining (DJUSIM) los ntawm ntau dua 30%. Акции торгуются более чем на 30% выше индекса S&P 500 thiab промышленного индекса Dow Jones Industrial Metals & Mining (DJUSIM). Cov Tshuag lag luam ntau dua 30% siab dua S&P 500 thiab Dow Jones Industrial Metals & Mining (DJUSIM).
Thaum Olympic Steel tau pom muaj kev sib raug zoo nrog cov hlau nqi ntsuas thaum lub sij hawm steel boom uas pib thaum lub sij hawm COVID-19 muaj thoob qhov txhia chaw, cov lus nug tam sim no yog seb lub tuam txhab puas tuaj yeem txhawb nqa kev loj hlob thiab cia nws cov nkoj xa mus rau kev taw qhia, tsis yog cua.?
Thaum lub tuam txhab yog ib qho kev yuav khoom zoo nyob rau hauv ib txwm muaj, Kuv nyob nruab nrab ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam tam sim no kom txog thaum cov khoom lag luam rov qab mus rau qib qub, yam tsawg kawg ntawm lub xyoo.
Olympic Steel, Inc., ib lub tuam txhab me me nrog kev lag luam peev ntawm US $ 293.77 lab, yog lub chaw pabcuam hlau uas ua haujlwm thiab muag cov hlau hauv Tebchaws Meskas.Lub tuam txhab ua haujlwm peb lub lag luam cais;
Tshwj xeeb Hlau Flats thiab Carbon Flats: Cov kev faib ob feem ntau yog sib xyaw ua ke vim qhov zoo sib xws ntawm cov peev txheej siv los ntawm ob qhov kev faib tawm, uas ua rau cov nqi sib faib.Raws li lub tuam txhab daim ntawv tshaj tawm txhua xyoo, cov khoom ntawm ob qhov kev faib khoom yog khaws cia hauv cov chaw sib koom, thiab qee qhov chaw tau ua tiav ntawm cov khoom siv sib koom. Cov khoom lag luam pav ca thiab cov khoom tshwj xeeb hlau ua rau feem ntau ntawm cov nyiaj tau los rau Olympic Steel, suav txog 55% & 29% ntawm cov nyiaj tau los hauv MRQ. Cov khoom lag luam pav ca thiab cov khoom tshwj xeeb hlau ua rau feem ntau ntawm cov nyiaj tau los rau Olympic Steel, suav txog 55% & 29% ntawm cov nyiaj tau los hauv MRQ.Cov Carbon Flat thiab Specialty Metals ntu ua rau feem ntau ntawm Olympic Steel cov nyiaj tau los, suav txog 55% thiab 29% ntawm MRQ cov nyiaj tau los.Cov pa roj carbon flats thiab tshwj xeeb hlau ntu suav nrog feem ntau ntawm Olympic Steel cov nyiaj tau los, suav txog 55% thiab 29% ntawm MRQ cov nyiaj tau los, feem.
Cov pa roj carbon & Cov Ntawv Tshwj Xeeb ntu suav nrog 33 lub tswv yim kho kom zoo thiab cov chaw lag luam hauv Asmeskas thiab ib qho hauv Monterrey, Mexico.
Lub tuam txhab thib peb ntu, Tubular Khoom, suav nrog yim yam khoom thiab suav txog 16% ntawm MRQ cov nyiaj tau los.Lub tuam txhab tau maj mam hloov nws txoj kev tsom mus rau ntu tshwj xeeb hlau, thiab nws yog qhov tseeb ntawm cov nyiaj tau los txhua xyoo uas cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov khoom lag luam tiaj tus tau nce.Ntawm qhov tsis sib xws, kev tsim cov kav dej thiab cov khoom siv yeeb nkab tau txo qis.
Cov kev pabcuam hauv tuam txhab feem ntau yog muab los ntawm kev lag luam machinery thiab cov khoom lag luam, cov tuam txhab tsheb, cov khoom siv hluav taws xob thiab cov tshuab ua liaj ua teb.
Lub tuam txhab cov neeg siv khoom tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yog cov chaw tsim khoom siv tshuab thiab khoom siv, uas suav nrog ntau dua 27.4% ntawm MRQ qhov muag muag.Lwm cov nuj nqis tseem ceeb kuj muaj nyob rau hauv cov lus hauv qab no.
Thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 2021, Olympic Steel tau muag nws lub lag luam Detroit rau Venture Steel Inc. rau $ 58.4 lab ntxiv rau kev hloov pauv peev ntawm kwv yees li $ 13.5 lab kom kaw thaum ntxov 2022. Qhov no qhia tau tias muaj kev txhim kho nyiaj ntsuab los ntawm kev nqis peev hauv nws cov nqe lus nyiaj txiag, uas tau poob ntau dua 50% los ntawm $ 28.1 lab ntawm tag nrho ntawm 2020 $ 2020.
"Peb tseem tsom ntsoov rau peb lub tswv yim mus sij hawm ntev los ua kom muaj kev sib txawv ntawm peb txoj kev lag luam, xa cov txiaj ntsig txuas ntxiv thiab nce tus nqi koom nrog.Cov nyiaj tau los ntawm kev muag khoom ntawm Detroit kev lag luam yuav raug siv los txo cov nuj nqis, ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv ntau dua rau cov organic incremental acquirements thiab kev nqis peev hauv cov phiaj xwm rau kev loj hlob thiab automation.
Ob peb xyoos dhau los, Olympic Steel tau hloov nws lub hom phiaj los ntawm cov khoom siv pav ca mus rau cov ntawv tshwj xeeb hlau.Nws nrhiav kev koom ua ke cov tuam txhab hlau-intensive rau hauv nws cov qauv kev lag luam los ntawm kev tau txais cov tuam txhab hauv tib qhov kev lag luam.
Kev ua haujlwm hauv Detroit tau tsom mus rau kev faib cov pa roj carbon monoxide rau cov neeg tsim tsheb hauv tsev thiab lawv cov chaw muag khoom, feem ntau hauv cov pa roj carbon flats ntu.Olympic Steel tau tshaj tawm tias tsawg dua 3% ntawm lawv cov kev muag khoom yog los ntawm cov tuam txhab tsheb lossis cov chaw tsim khoom pib.
Txoj cai tom qab Detroit qhov kev lag luam carbon-centric muag, Olympic Steel siv qee qhov kev muag khoom tau txais lwm yam stainless hlau thiab txhuas tis lag luam, Shaw Stainless Steel & Alloy, Inc., rau $ 12.1 lab. Txoj cai tom qab Detroit qhov kev lag luam carbon-centric muag, Olympic Steel siv qee qhov kev muag khoom tau txais lwm yam stainless hlau thiab txhuas tis lag luam, Shaw Stainless Steel & Alloy, Inc., rau $ 12.1 lab. Сразу после продажи Детройта, ориентированного на выбросы углерода, Olympic Steel исполь зовала часть выручики от де часть выручики ругого предприятия по продаже нержавеющей стали и алюминия, Shaw Stainless Steel & Alloy, Inc., за 12,1 миллиона долларов. Tam sim ntawd tom qab muag cov pa roj carbon-tsav Detroit, Olympic Steel siv ib feem ntawm cov nyiaj tau los ntawm kev muag khoom kom tau txais lwm tus neeg ua lag luam stainless hlau thiab txhuas, Shaw Stainless Steel & Alloy, Inc., rau $ 12.1 lab.在底特律以碳为中心的业务出售后,Olympic Steel 使用部分出售收益以 1210一万侎元收崔了Shaw Stainless Hlau & Alloy, Inc.在 底特律以碳为的 业务出售后 , olympic steel 使用 出售 收益 以 1210 万美妅咔了销 企业 企业 Shaw Stainess Steel & Alloy, Inc .. После продажи своего углеродоориентированного бизнеса в Детройте Olympic Steel использовала частоь выручки я проспользовала часть выручки w Steel & Alloy, Inc., другого дистрибьютора нержавеющей стали и алюминия, за 12,1 миллиона долларов. Tom qab kev muag khoom ntawm nws lub lag luam Detroit carbon, Olympic Steel siv ib feem ntawm kev muag khoom tau txais Shaw Stainless Steel & Alloy, Inc., lwm tus neeg muag khoom stainless hlau thiab txhuas, rau $ 12.1 lab. Hauv 2019, Olympic Steel kuj tau txais Action Stainless & Alloys rau $ 19.5 lab. Hauv 2019, Olympic Steel kuj tau txais Action Stainless & Alloys rau $ 19.5 lab. В 2019 году Olympic Steel также приобрела Action Stainless & Alloys за 19,5 миллионов долларов. Hauv 2019, Olympic Steel kuj tau txais Action Stainless & Alloys rau $ 19.5 lab. 2019 年,Olympic Steel 还以1950 万美元收购了Action Stainless & Alloys. 2019 年,Olympic Steel 还以1950 万美元收购了Action Stainless & Alloys. В 2019 году Olympic Steel также приобрела Action Stainless & Alloys за 19,5 млн долларов. Hauv 2019, Olympic Steel kuj tau txais Action Stainless & Alloys rau $ 19.5 lab.Ib yam li ntawd, thaum pib ntawm 2018, Olympic Steel tau txais Berlin Hlau, ib qho ntawm cov chaw pabcuam loj tshaj plaws hauv North America, uas ua haujlwm thiab muag cov nqi tinplate thiab stainless hlau sawb nyob rau hauv daim ntawv ntawm slotted coils.
Kev ua tiav kev lag luam ntawm cov nplai thiab sib txawv ntawm nws cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm kev yuav khoom yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Olympic Steel nyob rau tsib xyoos dhau los thiab tau txais ntau tshaj tsib lub tuam txhab, suav nrog plaub hauv tsib xyoos dhau los.Cov khoom lag luam no tau pom meej meej tias Olympic Steel npaj siab los nthuav dav thiab nthuav dav nws cov ntaub ntawv thiab txo cov kev lag luam uas twb muaj lawm.
Suav qhov kev thov tau raug kev txom nyem nyob rau lub hlis no thiab peb yuav pom sai sai yuav cuam tshuam rau cov tuam txhab Asmeskas.Tus nqi rau cov hlau thiab nws cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb ntawm cov hlau ore hloov pauv thaum lub sij hawm kaw Shanghai, tab sis pom qhov kev poob qis thaum ntxov lub hlis no, raws li CNBC.Allied Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Lag Luam kwv yees tias kev lag luam tshwj xeeb hlau yuav loj hlob ntawm CAGR ntawm 3.50% kom ncav cuag $ 276 billion los ntawm 2031. Qhov kev kwv yees kev loj hlob no zoo li kev saib xyuas rau lub tuam txhab me me xws li Olympic Steel Inc.
Cov nqi sib koom hauv feem ntau ntawm cov hlau, mining thiab cov khoom lag luam tau nce thiab zoo li yuav nce ntxiv mus ntev npaum li cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag ntau dua qhov kev cia siab tau tshaj tawm.Yog li ntawd, tus nqi ntawm ZEUS tau hovered ib ncig ntawm $27 nyob rau hauv lub xyoo dhau los, nrog ib tug 52-lub lim piam siab xwb tshaj $43.
Cov tub lag luam tam sim no tab tom nrhiav kev nqis peev hauv cov lag luam cov khoom lag luam muaj zog, uas tuaj yeem huab cua lub sijhawm nyuaj yog tias lawv pom lawv tus kheej nyob rau hauv ib puag ncig txaus ntshai.Cov hauv paus muaj zog, cov ntawv txheeb xyuas kev noj qab haus huv thiab kev ua kua dej ntau dhau yuav yog qee yam tseem ceeb uas yuav tsum tau saib xyuas hauv kev lag luam nyuaj vim tias tus nqi zog yuav tsis cuam tshuam rau lub tuam txhab txoj haujlwm tseeb.
Lub tuam txhab tau tshaj tawm MRQ EPS ntawm $ 3.10, ua tau zoo tshaj qhov kwv yees los ntawm $ 0.84, nqa tus nqi-rau-nyiaj tau los piv ntawm 2.06 hauv 12 lub hlis dhau los.Tus nqi-rau-cov nyiaj tau los no yog qhov zoo dua li cov neeg sib tw, qhov nruab nrab 11.76x.Ib yam li ntawd, txhua qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb yog qhov qis dua piv rau lawv cov phooj ywg, nrog rau qhov luv nqi nruab nrab ntawm txhua qhov kev ntsuas ntawm 70%, tawm tswv yim upside peev xwm rau Olympic Steel nqi.
Tsis tas li ntawd, nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis 2022, Pawg Thawj Coj tau pom zoo them cov nyiaj faib tawm ib lub hlis twg ntawm $ 0.09 ib feem rau cov tswv lag luam sau npe txij thaum Lub Rau Hli 1, 2022, yuav tas rau lub Rau Hli 15, 2022.
Ib yam li ntawd, 35% ROE thiab 13% ROTA qhia txog kev siv cov peev txheej zoo dua li kev lag luam, ntau dua ob npaug ntawm kev lag luam nruab nrab ntawm 12.86% thiab 5.22%.
Kuv cia siab tias cov khoom lag luam yuav poob qis hauv peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2022 vim qhov tsis ntev los no ntawm cov nqi hlau poob qis.Txog tam sim no, tus nqi thiab lub zog tseem ceeb tau sib txheeb.Yog tias cov hauv paus tseem ceeb tseem muaj zog, nws yuav yog qhov tsis ncaj ncees thiab muaj txiaj ntsig los xav tias cov khoom lag luam me me yuav xa rov qab zoo nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev.
Ntawm qhov kev ceeb toom yog tias Olympic Steel cov nuj nqis-rau-tus nqi sib npaug yog siab heev ntawm 73.41%, nrog rau feem ntau ntawm nws cov nuj nqis tau muab faib ua cov nuj nqis ntev ntev, txawm hais tias nws tau txo los ntawm 5.83% xyoo-rau-xyoo, los ntawm $ 360 lab rau $ 339.lab yog nyob rau hauv MRQ.
Olympic Steel tau kos npe rau daim ntawv cog lus qiv nyiaj $ 455 lab nrog Bank of America (BAC) hauv 2017, uas yuav tas rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2022. Daim ntawv cog lus hloov mus txuas ntxiv rau $ 475 lab tsib xyoos rov qab qiv nyiaj mus txog rau Lub Rau Hli 2026, ruaj ntseg feem ntau los ntawm lub tuam txhab cov khoom tau txais, cov khoom muag, thiab cov khoom thiab cov khoom siv.Cov peev nyiaj suav nrog txog $ 200 lab hauv kev xaiv kev loj hlob.
Raws li lub tuam txhab hauv kev lag luam cyclical, Olympic Steel ntsib ntau qhov kev pheej hmoo.Qhov kev tawm dag zog siab no tau ua rau muaj beta ntau dua rau lub tuam txhab ntawm 1.51, ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv ntau dua.
Lub tuam txhab cov qauv peev yuav tsum sib npaug, qhov zoo tshaj plaws lub tuam txhab cov nuj nqis siab yuav tsum muaj tus nqi qis ntawm cov peev, tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm cov voj voog los ntawm kev kaw cov paj qis ua ntej ntawm lub voj voog qis.
Fitch cia siab tias cov nqi hlau thoob ntiaj teb yuav poob qis hauv 2022 thaum qhov kev rov qab los ntawm cov nqi thoob ntiaj teb xaus.
Sab nraud ntawm Tuam Tshoj, Teb Chaws Asmeskas tab tom poob qis dua nws cov neeg sib tw thoob ntiaj teb hauv kev rov pib lub peev xwm tsim khoom tom qab Covid-19 cuam tshuam thiab kev txiav ntau lawm.Mus rau pem hauv ntej, Fitch cia siab tias US cov khoom yuav rov pib dua nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej thiab kev xa khoom tuaj yeem txhim kho, ua rau muaj kev ruaj khov ntawm US cov nqi steel hauv 2022.
Olympic Steel yog ib qho nyuaj ntawm kev ua haujlwm nthuav dav nws cov lag luam hauv tsev thiab txawv teb chaws, tab sis yog tias lub tuam txhab cia siab tias yuav sib tw nrog cov neeg ua si loj hauv xyoo tom ntej, nws yuav tsum nthuav nws txoj kev lag luam, uas tau npaj kom loj hlob ntawm tus nqi txhua xyoo.tus nqi tshaj cov hlau tshwj xeeb, lossis 3.5%.Olympic Steel muaj kev pheej hmoo siab hauv kev nce tus tswv cuab tus nqi, uas ua rau kev nqis peev hauv tuam txhab muaj kev pheej hmoo siab thiab nqi zog vim nws qhov kev lag luam me me.
Muab lub tuam txhab keeb kwm yav dhau los, nws tau ua cov kauj ruam tseem ceeb kom tau txais thiab nthuav nws txoj kev lag luam.Tab sis tam sim no yog lub sijhawm rau Olympic Steel kom txo nws cov nuj nqis thiab rov ua kom rov qab mus rau qhov kev pom zoo, qhov twg qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov nyiaj tau los thiab cov nyiaj tau los yuav tsum txo qis rau lub sijhawm kom txhawb nqa kev loj hlob ntawm cov organic.
Muab qhov kev lag luam tam sim no tsis muaj zog thiab qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev lag luam uas Olympic Steel ua haujlwm, peb tuaj yeem pom txoj kev pob zeb ua ntej.Macro yam xws li kev nce nqi nce nqi, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev tiv thaiv kev tiv thaiv kev tiv thaiv thiab kev lag luam poob qis ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm kev lag luam, ua rau kuv ntsuas Olympic Steel raws li "tuav" kom txog thaum txhua yam nyob twj ywm thiab muaj qee qhov kev ruaj khov.
Qhia tawm: Kuv / peb tsis muaj cov khoom lag luam, cov kev xaiv lossis cov haujlwm zoo sib xws hauv ib qho ntawm cov tuam txhab tau hais thiab tsis npaj yuav ua haujlwm li 72 teev tom ntej.Kev Tshaj Tawm Txog Kev Lag Luam: Kab lus no tau sau los ntawm Haider Arshad Kev Tshawb Fawb thiab tshuaj xyuas thiab xa los ntawm Mr. Walid Tariq.


Post lub sij hawm: Aug-09-2022