Nickel tus nqi pib lub hli siab dua, rhuav tshem qhov siab dhau los pom ntawm lub sijhawm luv luv xws li cov kab kos ib teev thiab txhua hnub.Thaum kawg, cov nqi tau rov qab los ntawm thaj chaw bullish uas tsim ua ntej LME kaw rau lub Peb Hlis.Qhov kev txiav txim nqi no qhia tias npib tsib xee muaj peev xwm tig siab dua yog tias cov nqi nce ntxiv.Zuag qhia tag nrho, txawm li cas los xij, cov nqi tseem nyob hauv nruab nrab mus rau lub sijhawm ua lag luam ntev.Cov neeg ua lag luam yuav tsum tau ua txhaum qhov no txhawm rau tsim kom muaj kev hloov pauv mus ntev.
Cov khoom lag luam ntawm cov hlau tsis muaj steel tau nce ntxiv tsis yog hauv cov chaw pabcuam, tab sis kuj nyob rau qee cov tuam txhab thiab cov neeg siv kawg.Qhov tseeb, cov peev txheej hais rau MetalMiner tias qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov khoom muag ntawm cov chaw pabcuam yog nyob nruab nrab ntawm peb thiab plaub lub hlis.Qhov zoo tshaj plaws, lub chaw pabcuam yuav tsum muaj cov khoom siv tsuas yog ob lub hlis xwb.MetalMiner kuj tau txais cov ntaub ntawv hais tias qee cov neeg siv kawg muaj ntau tshaj li cuaj lub hlis ntawm cov khoom hauv lawv cov plag tsev.Obviously, muaj cov khoom lag luam zoo li no los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom kawg thiab cov chaw tsim khoom yuav cuam tshuam cov khoom siv rau cov chaw pabcuam.
Nyob rau hauv 2022, US ca stainless hlau ntau lawm tseem yuav raug txwv los ntawm nruj faib ntawm alloys, widths thiab thicknesses dictated los ntawm manufacturers.Yog li kom ua kom tiav ntau lawm, North American Stainless thiab Outokumpu tau tsom lawv cov kev siv zog ntawm kev tsim cov qauv 304/304L, nrog rau qee qhov 316L.Feem ntau yog 48 nti dav lossis loj dua thiab 0.035 nti tuab.Dav, lub teeb yuag thiab alloy additives yog pib txo cov kev xav tau ntawm cov khoom siv fais fab.Tsis tas li ntawd, qee tus neeg yuav khoom stainless hlau kuj tseem tiv thaiv lawv cov thawj koom ruam los ntawm kev thov rov qab rau xyoo 2022, thiab kev cuam tshuam txog kev xa khoom yuav tsum txuas ntxiv mus.
Lub caij no, kev xa khoom ntawm cov hlau tsis muaj dej txias tau txuas ntxiv mus thoob plaws xyoo 2022, nce siab thaum lub Plaub Hlis-Lub Rau Hli.Qhov no tau pab cuam tshuam cov khoom tsis txaus hauv Asmeskas, qhov chaw xa khoom tau pib poob qis vim tias cov khoom muag ntawm cov chaw pabcuam tau nce.Txawm hais tias tus nqi tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo heev, cov chaw pabcuam sai tau pib thim rov qab.Cov khoom tuaj txawv teb chaws tsis tas yuav tuaj txog tib lub hlis ntawm kev txiav txim.Vim li no, kev xa khoom ntawm cov hlau txias-kuav los tiag tseem tshwm sim (txawm tias nyob hauv ntau me me).
Ntau cov tuam txhab lag luam uas tau muag ntau dhau los kom tsis txhob muaj teeb meem tam sim no dhau los.Tag nrho lawv cov peev txheej tau xa cov khoom pom zoo, thiab lub tuam txhab tsis muaj kev xaiv tab sis tos.Hmoov zoo, cov lag luam uas yuav khoom ntau dhau los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom kawg tuaj yeem txo qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm cov neeg siv khoom kawg thiab tso qee cov nyiaj ntsuab.Lub chaw pabcuam yuav tsis yuav cov khoom muag ntau dhau lub sijhawm no.Txawm li cas los xij, muaj qee lub tuam txhab B2B uas tshwj xeeb txuas cov neeg muag khoom rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv qhov xwm txheej no.
Qee qhov chaw hauv MetalMiner qhia tias qhov teeb meem ntawm kev nce cov khoom lag luam hauv cov chaw pabcuam tuaj yeem daws tau sai li sai tau thaum kawg ntawm 2022 thiab tsis pub dhau lub quarter thib ib ntawm 2023. Txawm li cas los xij, nws tseem ceeb heev uas yuav tsum xav txog qhov muaj peev xwm txo qis ntawm cov peev txheej no raws li 2022 txoj hauv kev.Piv txwv li, surcharges ntawm 304 alloys tau txuas ntxiv poob los ntawm lawv cov ncov thaum lub Tsib Hlis.Lub Cuaj Hlis 304 tus nqi ntxiv kuj tseem yog $ 1.2266 ib phaus, nqis $ 0.6765 ib phaus txij lub Tsib Hlis.
Tshawb xyuas MetalMiner tus nqi stainless hlau tus qauv los ntawm kev teem caij rau Insights platform demo.
Cov teb chaws sab hnub poob tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm kev rau txim txuas ntxiv mus rau Lavxias teb sab nickel.Qhov tseeb, kev xa khoom tau nce ntxiv txij li lub Peb Hlis.Russia suav txog li 7% ntawm lub ntiaj teb nickel ntau lawm, thiab nws lub tuam txhab loj tshaj plaws, Norilsk Nickel, tsim txog li 15-20% ntawm lub ntiaj teb cov roj teeb nickel.
Tebchaws Asmeskas pom qhov loj tshaj plaws.Nickel imports los ntawm Russia mus rau Asmeskas tau dhia 70% txij lub Peb Hlis mus txog rau Lub Rau Hli, raws li UN Comtrade cov ntaub ntawv sau los ntawm Reuters.Lub caij no, kev xa khoom mus rau EU tau nce 22% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm.
Qhov nce ntawm cov khoom los ntawm Russia qhia ob yam.Ua ntej, tus nqi qis dua yuav ua rau Lavxias teb sab npib tsib xee ntau txaus nyiam, raws li tag nrho lwm cov nqi tau nce tom qab Ukrainian ntxeem tau.Qhov thib ob, nws txhais tau hais tias kev ntshai ntawm kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov khoom lag luam uas ua rau muaj kev nce siab hauv cov nqi rau cov hlau hauv lub Peb Hlis thaum ntxov tau dhau los ua exaggerated.
Ua kom paub txog dab tsi tshwm sim hauv MetalMiner thiab kev lag luam stainless hlau nrog kev hloov tshiab txhua lub lim tiam - tsis muaj kev xa ntawv ntxiv.Sau npe yuav MetalMiner tsab ntawv xov xwm txhua lub lim tiam.
Thaum pib ntawm lub caij cog lus 2023, Western tuam txhab lag luam yuav pib tsis kam cov khoom siv los ntawm Russia.
Raws li Paul Wharton, Norsk Hydro tus lwm thawj coj ntawm extruded aluminium khoom, "peb yuav tsis tau yuav los ntawm Russia nyob rau hauv 2023."Qhov tseeb, thawj zaug tham nrog Norilsk Nickel qhia tias cov neeg yuav khoom nyob sab Europe tab tom nrhiav kom txo kev yuav khoom yuav luag txhua qhov chaw.
Cov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov khoom siv no tuaj yeem txav cov ntaub ntawv ntawm luv nqi rau cov tuam txhab thiab cov teb chaws uas tseem kam xa tawm los ntawm Russia."Kuv tsis paub tias cov ntaub ntawv yuav mus qhov twg tam sim no - lawv tuaj yeem mus rau Asia, Tuam Tshoj, Qaib Cov Txwv thiab lwm thaj chaw uas tsis tau siv txoj kab nyuaj ntawm cov ntaub ntawv Lavxias," Wharton ntxiv.
Qhov no tuaj yeem ua rau muaj nyiaj ntau dua rau cov khoom tau los ntawm lwm qhov chaw.Tau kawg, tsis yog txhua lub tuam txhab yuav nyuaj rau cov khoom siv hauv Lavxias.Thiab txij li qhov kev zam no yog kev yeem, nws yuav tsis yuam Lavxias nickel tawm ntawm lub ntiaj teb kev ua lag luam.
MetalMiner qhov kev kwv yees txhua xyoo rau 2023 tawm lub lim tiam no!Daim ntawv tshaj tawm tau lees paub peb qhov kev pom zoo 12 lub hlis thiab muab cov tuam txhab yuav khoom nrog kev pom zoo ntawm cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb ntawm tus nqi tsav tsheb, nrog rau cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws uas tuaj yeem siv tau thaum nrhiav cov hlau mus txog 2023, suav nrog cov nqi nruab nrab, kev txhawb nqa thiab qib siab.
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MetalMiner pab kev yuav cov koom haum zoo tswj cov npoo, ua kom cov khoom tsis muaj zog, txo cov nqi, thiab sib tham tus nqi rau cov khoom steel.Lub tuam txhab ua qhov no los ntawm ib qho tshwj xeeb kev kwv yees siv lub ntsej muag txawj ntse (AI), kev tshuaj ntsuam xyuas (TA) thiab kev paub tob tob.
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