Qiimaha nickelku wuxuu bilaabmay bishii, isagoo jabiyay heerarkii hore ee lagu arkay waqtiyo gaaban sida jaantusyada saacadaha iyo maalinlaha ah.Ugu dambeyntii, qiimuhu wuxuu dib uga soo noqday aagga bullish ee la sameeyay ka hor inta aan la xirin LME bishii Maarso.Tallaabadan qiimaha ayaa soo jeedinaysa in nikkel uu leeyahay awood uu sare ugu kaco haddii qiimuhu sii socdo.Guud ahaan, si kastaba ha ahaatee, qiimayaashu waxay ku sii jiraan kala duwanaanshaha ganacsiga dhexdhexaadka ah iyo muddada dheer.Maalgashadayaashu waxay u baahan doonaan inay tan jebiyaan si ay u abuuraan isbeddel cusub oo mustaqbalka fog ah.
Kaydka birta aan fiicneyn ayaa kordhay kaliya maaha xarumaha adeega, laakiin sidoo kale qaar ka mid ah soosaarayaasha iyo isticmaalayaasha dhamaadka.Dhab ahaantii, ilo-wareedyadu waxay u sheegeen MetalMiner in celceliska kaydka alaabada ee xarumaha adeegga ay u dhexeeyaan saddex ilaa afar bilood.Sida habboon, xarunta adeeggu waa inay lahaataa sahay laba bilood oo keliya ah.MetalMiner waxa kale oo ay heshay macluumaad ah in qaar ka mid ah isticmaalayaasha dhamaadka ay haystaan in ka badan sagaal bilood oo kayd ah sagxadaha.Sida iska cad, helitaanka kaydka noocan oo kale ah ee isticmaalayaasha dhamaadka iyo soosaarayaasha waxay saameyn doontaa sahayda xarumaha adeegga.
Sannadka 2022, wax-soo-saarka birta-la'aanta ah ee fidsan ee Maraykanku waxa uu ku sii socdaa in lagu xaddido qoondaynta adag ee alooysyada, ballaca iyo dhumucda ay sheegaan warshaduhu.Marka si loo kordhiyo wax soo saarka, North American Stainless iyo Outokumpu waxay diiradda saareen dadaalkooda soo saarista heerka 304/304L, iyo sidoo kale qaar 316L.Badankoodu waa 48 inji oo balac ah ama ka weyn iyo 0.035 inji.Balaadhka, miisaanka fudud iyo waxyaalaha lagu daro daawaha ayaa bilaabaya in ay yareeyaan baahida alaabta korontada.Intaa waxaa dheer, qaar ka mid ah iibsadayaasha birta aan wanaagsanayn ayaa sidoo kale xannibaya khamaarkooda iyagoo dib u soo celinaya baahida 2022, carqaladaynta saadka ayaa la filayaa inay sii socoto.
Dhanka kale, soo dejinta birta-qabow-duuban ayaa sii waday inay kor u kacdo ilaa 2022, taasoo sare u kacday bilaha Abriil-June.Tani waxay gacan ka gaysatay hoos u dhaca saadka ee Maraykanka, halkaas oo soo dejinta ay bilaabeen inay hoos u dhacaan iyada oo alaabada xarumaha adeega ay kor u kacday.Inkasta oo qiimaha dhimista soo dejinta ay aad u sarreyso, xarumaha adeegga ayaa isla markiiba bilaabay inay dib u gurtaan.Alaabta la soo dejiyo qasab maaha inay yimaadaan isla bisha dalabka.Sababtaas awgeed, soo dejinta birta qabow-duuban waxay sii socotaa inay soo baxdo (inkastoo ay aad u yar tahay).
Warshado badan oo si xad dhaaf ah loo iibsaday si ay uga fogaadaan madowga ayaa hadda buux dhaafiyay.Dhammaan ilaha ay ka soo jeedaan waxay horey u keeneen tirada lagu heshiiyey, shirkaduna ma hayso wax kale oo aan ahayn inay sugto.Nasiib wanaag, ganacsiyada ka iibsada alaabo xad-dhaaf ah isticmaalayaasha dhamaadka waxay yareyn karaan halista alaabada isticmaalaha oo ay xoreeyaan xoogaa lacag ah.Xarunta adeeggu dib uma soo iibsan doonto alaabada dheeraadka ah wakhtigan.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, waxaa jira qaar ka mid ah shirkadaha B2B kuwaas oo si gaar ah ugu xira iibiyeyaasha si ay u iibsadaan xaaladdan.
Ilaha qaar ee MetalMiner waxay soo jeedinayaan in arrinta kordhinta kaydka xarumaha adeega la xalin karo horaanta dhamaadka 2022 iyo ugu dambayn rubuci hore ee 2023. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, waxa kale oo muhiim ah in la tixgeliyo hoos u dhaca kaydadkan sida 2022 soo dhawaado.Tusaale ahaan, kharashyada dheeraadka ah ee 304 Alloys ayaa hoos uga sii dhacayay heerkoodii ugu sarreeyay bishii Maajo.Kharashka Sebtembar 304 ayaa sidoo kale ahaa $1.2266 rodolkiiba, hoos u dhacay $0.6765 rodolkii bishii Maajo.
Sahami moodelka qiimaha birta-la'aanta ee MetalMiner adiga oo jadwal u samaynaya bandhiga madal Insights.
Wadamada reer galbeedka ee aysan saameynin cunaqabateynta ayaa sii wada in ay soo dhoofsadaan nikkelka Ruushka.Dhab ahaantii, shixnadaha ayaa kor u kacay tan iyo bishii Maarso.Ruushka ayaa qiyaastii 7% ka ah wax-soo-saarka nikkel-ka adduunka, shirkaddiisa ugu weyn, Norilsk Nickel, waxay soo saartaa qiyaastii 15-20% nikkelka baytariyada adduunka.
Maraykanku wuxuu arkay kororka ugu weyn.Soo dejinta Nickel ee laga keeno Ruushka una soo degto Maraykanka ayaa kor u kacday 70% laga bilaabo March ilaa June, sida laga soo xigtay xogta xogta Comtrade ee Qaramada Midoobay oo ay soo diyaarisay Reuters.Dhanka kale, wax soo dejinta EU-da ayaa kor u kacay 22% isla muddadaas.
Korodhka walxaha ka imanaya Ruushka ayaa muujinaya laba shay.Marka hore, qiimaha hoose ayaa laga yaabaa inuu ka dhigay nikkel Ruush ah mid soo jiidasho leh, sida dhammaan qiimaha kale ee kor u kacay ka dib duulaankii Yukreeniyaan.Marka labaad, waxa ay la macno tahay in cabsida laga qabo khalkhal la'aanta saadka taasoo sababtay kor u kac weyn oo ku yimid qiimaha biraha sal-dhiggu horraantii bishii 3aad ay noqotay mid la buunbuuniyay.
Lasoco waxa ka dhacaya MetalMiner iyo warshadaha birta aan-waranka lahayn oo leh cusboonaysiinta toddobaadlaha ah - looma baahna waraaqo dheeraad ah.Isdiiwaangeli warsidaha toddobaadlaha ah ee MetalMiner.
Bilawga xilliga qandaraaska 2023, wax-soo-saarayaasha reer galbeedka ayaa laga yaabaa inay bilaabaan inay diidaan sahayda Ruushka.
Sida laga soo xigtay Paul Wharton, ku xigeenka madaxa fulinta ee Norsk Hydro ee alaabada aluminium ee la sii daayay, "Xaqiiqdii kama iibsan doono Ruushka 2023."Dhab ahaantii, wadahadaladii ugu horreeyay ee Norilsk Nickel waxay muujinayaan in iibsadayaasha Yurub ay raadinayaan inay yareeyaan wax iibsiga ku dhawaad meel kasta.
Isbeddelladan sahayda ah waxay u wareejin karaan agabka qiimo dhimis shirkadaha iyo waddamada wali diyaarka u ah inay ka soo dejiyaan Ruushka."Ma garanayo halka ay alaabtu hadda u socoto - waxay aadi karaan Aasiya, Shiinaha, Turkiga iyo gobollo kale oo aan si adag uga hadlin qalabka Ruushka," ayuu Wharton ku daray.
Tani waxay keeni kartaa kharash dheeraad ah alaabta laga helo ilo kale.Dabcan, dhammaan shirkadaha ma noqon doonaan kuwo aad u adag alaabta Ruushka.Maaddaama diidmadani ay tahay mid ikhtiyaari ah, kuma qasbi doonto nikkel Ruushku inuu ka baxo suuqa adduunka.
Saadaasha sanadlaha ah ee MetalMiner ee 2023 ayaa soo baxaysa usbuucan!Warbixintu waxay xaqiijinaysaa aragtidayada 12-ka bilood ah waxayna siisaa shirkadaha wax iibsiga aragti dhamaystiran oo ku saabsan qodobbada aasaasiga ah ee kicinta qiimaha, iyo sidoo kale saadaasha faahfaahsan ee loo isticmaali karo marka la raadinayo biraha illaa 2023, oo ay ku jiraan celceliska qiimaha la filayo, taageerada iyo heerarka iska caabbinta.
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MetalMiner waxay ka caawisaa wax iibsiga ururada inay si wanaagsan u maareeyaan xad-dhaafka, hagaajinta isbeddelka badeecadaha, dhimista kharashaadka, iyo ka gorgortanka qiimaha alaabta birta.Shirkaddu waxay tan ku samaysaa muraayad saadaalin ah oo gaar ah iyadoo la adeegsanayo sirdoonka macmal (AI), falanqaynta farsamada (TA) iyo aqoonta domain qoto dheer.
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Waqtiga boostada: Seb-19-2022