Imboni Yabakhiqizi Bensimbi Yakwa-Zacks isilungele ukukhuphuka isivinini esidingekayo kwezezimoto, imakethe enkulu, njengoba inkinga ye-semiconductor iya ngokuya idamba futhi abakhiqizi bezimoto bakhuphula ukukhiqizwa.Utshalomali olukhulu lwengqalasizinda luphinde luveze kahle embonini yensimbi yase-US.Izintengo zensimbi nazo zingase zithole ukwesekwa ekubuyiseni isidingo nasekusetshenzisweni kwengqalasizinda.Imakethe eqinile yokwakha okungezona ezokuhlala kanye nesidingo esinempilo endaweni yamandla nakho kumelela imboni.Abadlali abavela embonini efana ne-Nucor Corporation NUE, Steel Dynamics, Inc. STLD, TimkenSteel Corporation TMST kanye ne-Olympic Steel, Inc. I-ZEUS babekwe kahle ukuze bazuze kulawa mathrendi.
Mayelana Nemboni
Imboni yeZacks Steel Producers inikezela ngenqwaba yezimboni ezisetshenziswa ekugcineni njengezimoto, ezokwakha, izinto zikagesi, iziqukathi, ukupakisha, imishini yezimboni, okokusebenza kwezimayini, ezokuthutha, uwoyela negesi ngemikhiqizo yensimbi eyahlukene.Le mikhiqizo ihlanganisa amakhoyili namashidi agoqelwe ashisayo nabandayo, amakhoyili namashidi acwiliswe ashisayo nakanozinti, izinsimbi eziqinisayo, amabhilidi nama-blooms, ama-wire rods, ama-strip mill plate, ipayipi elivamile nelayini, kanye nemikhiqizo yamashubhu ayimishini.Insimbi ikhiqizwa kusetshenziswa izindlela ezimbili - iBlast Furnace ne-Electric Arc Furnace.Kuthathwa njengomgogodla wemboni yokukhiqiza.Izimakethe zezimoto nezokwakha ngokomlando bezingabathengi abakhulu bensimbi.Ngokuphawulekayo, umkhakha wezindlu nowokwakha ungumthengi omkhulu wensimbi, obalwa cishe ingxenye yesamba esisetshenziswa emhlabeni.
Linjani Ikusasa Lomkhakha Wabakhiqizi Bensimbi?
Amandla Esidingo Ezimakethe Ezinkulu Zokusetshenziswa Kokugcina: Abakhiqizi bensimbi bahlelelwe ukuzuza ekufuneni kabusha ezimakethe ezinkulu zokusetshenziswa kwensimbi njengezimoto, ezokwakha kanye nemishini kusukela ekuwohlokeni okuholwa yi-coronavirus.Kulindeleke ukuthi bahlomule ekubhukheni okunezinga eliphezulu emakethe yezimoto ngo-2023. Isidingo sensimbi ezimotweni kulindeleke ukuthi sibe ngcono kulo nyaka ngenxa yokunciphisa ukushoda komhlaba wonke kwama-semiconductor chips abenesisindo esikhulu embonini yezimoto cishe iminyaka emibili.Uhlu lwamagama abathengisi abaphansi kanye nesidingo esilindile kungenzeka kube yizici ezisekelayo.Imisebenzi ye-oda emakethe yezokwakha okungezona ezokuhlala nayo ihlala iqinile, igcizelela amandla emvelo ale mboni.Isidingo emkhakheni wezamandla siphinde saba ngcono ngenxa yokwenyuka kwamanani kawoyela negesi.Amathrendi avumayo kuzo zonke lezi zimakethe akhula kahle embonini yensimbi. Ukubuyiselwa Okuzenzakalelayo, Ukusetshenziswa Kwengqalasizinda Ukuze Usize Amanani Ensimbi: Amanani ensimbi abona ukulungiswa okuqinile emhlabeni wonke ngo-2022 njengoba ingxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine, izindleko zamandla ezikhuphukayo eYurophu, ukwehla kwamandla emali okungapheli, ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo kanye nokwehla kwezinga lentengo eChina ngenxa yokwehla kwemakethe ye-COVID-19.Ikakhulukazi, izintengo zensimbi zase-US zehla ngemuva kokukhuphukela cishe ku-$1,500 ngethani elifushane ngo-Ephreli 2022 ngenxa yokukhathazeka kokuhlinzekwa okuvela empini yaseRussia-Ukraine.Izintengo ze-benchmark hot-rolled coil (“HRC”) zehle zafinyelela eduze kuka-$600 ngeleveli yethani elifushane ngoNovemba 2022. Ukwehla ngokwengxenye kubonisa isidingo esibuthakathaka kanye nokwesaba ukwehla komnotho.Kodwa-ke, izintengo zithole ukwesekwa okuthile kokufika sekwephuzile okuvela ezenzweni zokwenyusa intengo zemishini yensimbi yase-US kanye nokusimama kwesidingo.Ukwehla kwesidingo sezimoto nakho kulindeleke ukuthi kunyuse amanani entengo yensimbi kulo nyaka.Iphrojekthi enkulukazi yokuthuthukiswa kwengqalasizinda nayo ingase ibe yimbangela embonini yensimbi yaseMelika kanye nezintengo ze-HRC zase-US ngo-2023. Ukusetshenziswa kwezimali okukhulu kwengqalasizinda yombuso kungaba nomthelela omuhle embonini yensimbi yase-US, uma kubhekwa ukwenyuka okulindelekile kokusetshenziswa kwempahla. .Ukuvalwa kwe-lockdown okusha kunomthelela omkhulu emnothweni wesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni.Ukwehla kwemisebenzi yokukhiqiza kuholele ekuncipheni kwesidingo sensimbi eChina.Umkhakha wezokukhiqiza usuthathe igxalaba njengoba ukuvela kabusha kwegciwane kulimaze isidingo sempahla ekhiqiziwe namaketanga okuhlinzeka.I-China iphinde yabona ukwehla kwezinga emkhakheni wezokwakha kanye nezakhiwo.Imboni yezindlu nezindlu yezwe ithathelwe kanzima ngenxa yokuvalwa kwezindlu okuphindaphindiwe.Ukutshalwa kwezimali kulo mkhakha kwehle kwaze kwaba sezingeni eliphansi kakhulu esikhathini esingangeminyaka engamashumi amathathu.Ukwehla kwezinga kule mikhakha esetshenziswa kakhulu insimbi kulindeleke ukuthi kukhinyabeze isidingo sensimbi esikhathini esifushane.
I-Zacks Industry Rank Ibonisa Amathuba Okuphumelela
Imboni Yabakhiqizi Bensimbi Yakwa-Zacks iyingxenye yomkhakha obanzi we-Zacks Basic Materials Sector.Ine-Zacks Industry Rank #9, eyibeka phezulu ku-4% wezimboni ze-Zacks ezingaphezu kuka-250. I-Zacks Industry Rank yeqembu, ngokuyisisekelo okuyisilinganiso se-Zacks Rank yazo zonke izitoko zamalungu, ikhombisa amathemba aseduze nesikhathi esiseduze.Ucwaningo lwethu lubonisa ukuthi ama-50% aphezulu ezimboni ezikleliswe yi-Zacks zidlula ezansi ngo-50% nge-factor of more than 2 to 1. Ngaphambi kokuthi sethule izitoko ezimbalwa ongase uthande ukuzicabangela ngephothifoliyo yakho, ake sibheke ukusebenza kwemakethe yamasheya kwakamuva kanye nesithombe sokulinganisa.
Imboni Isebenza Kakhulu Umkhakha kanye ne-S&P 500
Imboni Yabakhiqizi Bensimbi Yakwa-Zacks isebenze kahle kakhulu ngaphezu kwenhlanganisela ye-Zacks S&P 500 kanye nomkhakha obanzi we-Zacks Basic Materials onyakeni odlule. Imboni izuze u-2.2% kulesi sikhathi uma kuqhathaniswa nokwehla kwe-S&P 500 ngo-18% kanye nokwehla komkhakha obanzi ngo-3.2%.
Ukulinganisa Kwamanje Kwemboni
Ngokwesisekelo sesilinganiso sebhizinisi sezinyanga eziyi-12 esilandela ngemuva kwe-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), okuwukuphindaphinda okuvamise ukusetshenziselwa ukulinganisa izitoko zensimbi, imboni okwamanje ihweba ku-3.89X, ngaphansi kwe-S&P 500's 11.75X kanye no-7.85X. X nakuma-median angu-6.71X, njengoba ishadi elingezansi libonisa.
Izitoko Ezi-4 Zabakhiqizi Bensimbi Zokugcina Iso Eliseduze
I-Nucor: I-Charlotte, i-NC-based Nucor, yezemidlalo i-Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), yenza imikhiqizo yensimbi nensimbi enezindawo zokusebenza e-United States, Canada nase-Mexico.Inkampani izuza ngamandla emakethe yezokwakha okungezona ezokuhlala.Iphinde ibone izimo ezithuthukisiwe emishinini emikhulu, ezolimo kanye nezimakethe zamandla avuselelekayo.I-Nucor kufanele futhi izuze emathubeni amaningi ezimakethe ekutshalweni kwayo kwamasu kumaphrojekthi ayo okukhula abaluleke kakhulu.I-NUE isalokhu izibophezele ekukhuliseni umthamo wokukhiqiza, okufanele iqhubekise ukukhula futhi iqinise isikhundla sayo njengomkhiqizi obiza kancane.Imali etholwayo yakwa-Nucor yedlula Isilinganiso Se-Zacks Consensus Estimate kumakota amathathu amane okugcina.Inemali etholwayo elandelanayo yekota emine ecishe ibe ngu-3.1%, ngokwesilinganiso.Isilinganiso se-Zacks Consensus sezinzuzo zango-2023 se-NUE sibuyekezwe ngo-15.9% phezulu ezinsukwini ezingu-60 ezedlule.Ungabona uhlu oluphelele lwezitoko zanamuhla ze-Zacks #1 Rank lapha.
I-Steel Dynamics: Isekelwe e-Indiana, i-Steel Dynamics ingumkhiqizi wensimbi ohamba phambili nesishicileli sensimbi e-United States, edlala i-Zacks Rank #1.Ihlomula ngomfutho oqinile emkhakheni wezokwakha okungezona ezokuhlala oqhutshwa umsebenzi onempilo wokuhleleka kwamakhasimende.I-Steel Dynamics nayo njengamanje yenza inqwaba yamaphrojekthi okufanele yengeze kumthamo wayo futhi ikhulise inzuzo.I-STLD ithuthukisa ukusebenza eSinton Flat Roll Steel Mill yayo.Ukutshalwa kwezimali okuhleliwe endaweni entsha yesimanjemanje ye-aluminium ephansi ye-aluminium flat-rolled nakho kuyaqhubeka nokukhula kwamasu.Isilinganiso sokuvumelana senzuzo ye-Steel Dynamics yango-2023 sibuyekezwe ngama-36.3% phezulu ezinsukwini ezingama-60 ezedlule.I-STLD iphinde yashaya i-Zacks Consensus Estimate ngenzuzo ngayinye yamakota amane alandelayo, isilinganiso esingu-6.2%.
I-Olympic Steel: I-Ohio-based Olympic Steel, ethwele i-Zacks Rank #1, iyisikhungo senkonzo yensimbi ehamba phambili egxile ekuthengisweni okuqondile nasekusatshalalisweni kwekhabhoni egayiwe, ishidi eligoqelwe eliyisicaba, ikhoyili nensimbi yamapuleti, i-aluminium, ipuleti likathayela, kanye nemikhiqizo enophawu lwensimbi.Izuza esimeni sayo esiqinile semali, izenzo zokwehlisa izindleko zokusebenza, namandla ebhizinisi layo lamapayipi namashubhu kanye nezinsimbi ezikhethekile.Ukwenza ngcono izimo zemakethe yezimboni kanye nokukhuphuka kwesidingo esikhulayo kulindeleke ukuthi kusekele amanani ayo.Ishidi lebhalansi eliqinile lenkampani liphinde liyivumele ukuthi itshale emathubeni okukhula anembuyiselo ephezulu.Isilinganiso se-Zacks Consensus Estimate se-Olympic Steel sika-2023 senzuzo sibuyekezwe ngo-21.1% phezulu ezinsukwini ezingu-60 ezedlule.IZEUS iphinde yadlula iZacks Consensus Estimate ngezigaba ezintathu kwezine ezilandela ngemuva.Kulolu hlaka lwesikhathi, ilethe isimangalo semali engenayo esicishe sibe ngu-25.4%.
I-TimkenSteel: I-TimkenSteel ese-Ohio izibandakanya ekukhiqizeni insimbi ye-alloy, kanye ne-carbon ne-micro-alloy steel.Le nkampani izuza ekudingeni okuphezulu kwezimboni namandla kanye nesimo samanani esivumayo, ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka kwe-semiconductor supply-chain okuphazamisa ukuthunyelwa kumakhasimende aphathwayo.I-TMST ibona ukusimama okuqhubekayo ezimakethe zayo zezimboni.Isidingo esiphezulu semakethe yokugcina kanye nezenzo zokunciphisa izindleko nakho kuyasiza ukusebenza kwayo.Izuza emizamweni yayo yokuthuthukisa ukwakheka kwezindleko nokusebenza kahle kokukhiqiza.I-TimkenSteel, ephethe i-Zacks Rank #2 (Thenga), inezinga lokukhula elilindelekile lemali engenayo elingu-28.9% ngo-2023. Isilinganiso sokuvumelana senzuzo yango-2023 sibuyekezwe ngo-97% phezulu ezinsukwini ezingu-60 ezedlule.
Ufuna izincomo zakamuva ezivela ku-Zacks Investment Research?Namuhla, ungalanda Izitoko Ezinhle Eziyisi-7 Ezinsukwini Ezizayo Ezingu-30.Chofoza ukuze uthole lo mbiko wamahhala
I-Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) : Umbiko Wamahhala Wokuhlaziya Isitoko
I-Nucor Corporation (NUE) : Umbiko Wamahhala Wokuhlaziya Isitoko
I-Olympic Steel, Inc. (ZEUS) : Umbiko Wamahhala Wokuhlaziya Isitoko
I-Timken Steel Corporation (TMST) : Umbiko Wamahhala Wokuhlaziya Isitoko
Ukuze ufunde lesi sihloko ku-Zacks.com chofoza lapha.
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Isikhathi sokuthumela: Feb-22-2023