Inkomba yensimbi engagqwali yanyanga zonke (MMI) yehle ngo-8.87% kusukela ngoJuni kuya kuJulayi.Izintengo ze-nickel zilandele isisekelo sensimbi phezulu ngemuva kokuphuma maphakathi noJulayi.Nokho, ekuqaleni kuka-August, umhlangano wawusudambile futhi amanani aqala ukwehla futhi.
Kokubili okuzuziwe ngenyanga edlule kanye nokulahlekelwa kwale nyanga kube kuncane kakhulu.Ngenxa yalesi sizathu, amanani ahlanganisa ebangeni lamanje ngaphandle kwesiqondiso esicacile senyanga ezayo.
I-Indonesia iyaqhubeka nokufuna ukukhulisa inani le-nickel reserves yayo.Kwethenjwa ukuthi lokhu kuzosiza ukukhulisa insimbi engagqwali kanye namandla okukhiqiza amabhethri ngokukhokhiswa kwentela yokuthekelisa kwamanye amazwe ezintweni ezingavuthiwe.Emuva ngo-2020, i-Indonesia yakuvimbela ngokuphelele ukuthunyelwa kwe-nickel ore.Umgomo uwukwenza ukuthi imboni yabo yezimayini itshale ekusetshenzisweni kwamandla.
Lesi sinyathelo siphoqe iChina ukuthi ithathele i-ore evela kwamanye amazwe ifake i-nickel pig iron kanye ne-ferronickel ezitshalweni zayo zensimbi engagqwali.I-Indonesia manje ihlela ukuphoqelela imisebenzi yokuthekelisa kuyo yomibili imikhiqizo.Lokhu kufanele kuhlinzeke ngezimali zokutshala izimali ezengeziwe ochungechungeni lokuhlinzeka ngensimbi.I-Indonesia iyodwa izobalelwa cishe ingxenye yokukhiqizwa kwe-nickel emhlabeni wonke kusukela ngo-2021.
Ukuvinjelwa kokuqala kokuthunyelwa kwe-nickel ore kwethulwa ngoMasingana 2014. Kusukela lapho kwavalwa, amanani entengo ye-nickel akhuphuke ngaphezu kwama-39% ezinyangeni ezinhlanu zokuqala zonyaka.Ekugcineni, ukushintsha kwemakethe kwehlise amanani futhi.Amanani entengo anyuke kakhulu naphezu kwezimo zomnotho ezintengayo ezingxenyeni ezithile zomhlaba, kuhlanganise nalezo ezise-European Union.E-Indonesia, ukuvinjelwa kwaba nomphumela owawufisa, njengoba izinkampani eziningi zase-Indonesia naseShayina ngokushesha zamemezela izinhlelo zokwakha izindawo zenuzi kuleli qoqo leziqhingi.Ngaphandle kwe-Indonesia, ukuvinjelwa sekuphoqe amazwe afana neChina, Australia neJapan ukuthi abheke eminye imithombo yensimbi.Akuzange kuthathe isikhathi eside ukuthi inkampani ithole ukuthunyelwa kwe-ore eqondile (i-DSO) ezindaweni ezifana ne-Philippines kanye ne-Solomon Islands.
I-Indonesia ixegise kakhulu ukuvinjelwa ekuqaleni kuka-2017. Lokhu kungenxa yezici ezimbalwa.Enye yazo ukushoda kwesabelomali sika-2016.Esinye isizathu sihlobene nempumelelo yokuvinjelwa, okwakhuthaza ukuthuthukiswa kwezinye izitshalo ze-nickel eziyisishiyagalolunye (uma kuqhathaniswa nezimbili).Ngenxa yalokho, engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2017 kuphela, lokhu kuholele ekwehleni kwamanani e-nickel cishe ngo-19%.
Njengoba ike yaveza inhloso yayo yokwethula kabusha ukuvinjelwa kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ngo-2022, i-Indonesia esikhundleni salokho yasheshisa ukululama kwaze kwaba nguJanuwari 2020. Lesi sinqumo sihlose ukusekela imboni yokucubungula yasekhaya ekhula ngokushesha ngalesi sikhathi.Lesi sinyathelo siphinde sabona i-China ikhuphula i-NPI yayo kanye namaphrojekthi ensimbi engagqwali e-Indonesia njengoba ibeka imingcele eqinile yokungenisa insimbi.Ngenxa yalokho, ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kwama-NFC e-China kusuka e-Indonesia nakho kwanda kakhulu.Nokho, ukuqaliswa kabusha kokuvinjelwa akuzange kube nomthelela ofanayo kumathrendi amanani.Mhlawumbe lokhu kungenxa yokugqashuka kwalolu bhubhane.Esikhundleni salokho, amanani ahlala e-downtrend evamile, hhayi phansi kuze kube sekupheleni kuka-March walowo nyaka.
Intela engase ibe khona yokuthekelisa esanda kumenyezelwa ihlobene nokwenyuka kokugeleza kokuthekelisa kwe-NFC.Lokhu kwenziwa lula ukwanda okubikezelwe kwenani lamabhizinisi asekhaya okucubungula i-NFU kanye ne-ferronickel.Eqinisweni, izilinganiso zamanje zibikezela ukwanda ukusuka kwezingu-16 kuye kwezingama-29 eminyakeni emihlanu nje kuphela.Kodwa-ke, imikhiqizo enenani eliphansi kanye nokuthunyelwa kwe-NPI okulinganiselwe kuzokhuthaza ukutshalwa kwezimali kwamanye amazwe e-Indonesia njengoba amazwe ethuthela ekukhiqizeni ibhethri nensimbi engagqwali.Kuzophinde kuphoqe abangenisa impahla ngaphandle njenge-China ukuthi babheke eminye imithombo yokuhlinzeka.
Kodwa-ke, lesi simemezelo sisazobangela ukwenyuka kwentengo okubonakalayo.Esikhundleni salokho, amanani e-nickel abelokhu ehla kusukela umhlangano wokugcina wama ngasekuqaleni kuka-Agasti.Intela ingase iqale ekuqaleni kwekota yesithathu ka-2022, kusho uSeptian Hario Seto, iPhini likaNgqongqoshe Oxhumanisayo Wezindaba Zasolwandle Nezokutshalwa Kwezimali.Nokho, usuku olusemthethweni alukamenyezelwa.Ngaleso sikhathi, lesi simemezelo sisodwa singase siqalise ukwanda kokuthunyelwa kwe-NFC yase-Indonesia njengoba amazwe elungiselela ukudlulisa intela.Impela, noma yikuphi ukusabela kwentengo yangempela ye-nickel kungenzeka kuze ngemva kosuku olunqunyiwe lokuqoqwa.
Indlela engcono kakhulu yokulandela amanani entengo ye-nickel yanyanga zonke ukubhalisela umbiko wenyanga we-MMI MetalMiner olethwa ngokuqondile ebhokisini lakho lokungenayo.
NgoJulayi 26, i-European Commission yethula uphenyo olusha mayelana nokudlula.Lawa ngamashidi ensimbi engagqwali egoqwe ashisayo kanye namakhoyili angeniswe eTurkey kodwa avela e-Indonesia.I-European Steel Association EUROFER yethule uphenyo mayelana nezinsolo zokuthi izimpahla ezivela eTurkey zephula izindlela zokulwa nokulahlwa kwempahla ezibekwe e-Indonesia.I-Indonesia isalokhu iyikhaya labakhiqizi abaningi baseShayina bensimbi engagqwali.Njengamanje icala kulindeleke ukuthi livalwe ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ezizayo.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, wonke ama-SHR angeniswe eTurkey azobhaliswa ngokuvumelana nemithetho ye-EU esebenza ngokushesha.
Kuze kube manje, uMongameli Biden uqhubekile kakhulu nendlela yokuvikela eChina elandelwa ngabandulelayo.Nakuba iziphetho nokusabela okulandelayo kulokho abakutholile kusalokhu kungaqinisekile, izenzo zaseYurophu zingase zikhuthaze i-United States ukuba ilandele okufanayo.Phela ukunqandwa kokulahlwa kukadoti bekulokhu kuthandeka ngokwepolitiki.Ngaphezu kwalokho, uphenyo lungaholela ekuqondisweni kabusha kwezinto ezake zathunyelwa eYurophu emakethe yase-US.Uma lokhu kwenzeka, kungase kukhuthaze izigayo zensimbi zase-US ukuthi zinxenxele isenzo sezombusazwe ukuvikela izintshisekelo zasekhaya.
Hlola imodeli yezindleko zensimbi engagqwali ye-MetalMiner ngokuhlela idemo yesikhulumi se-Insights.
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